Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K / README.md
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metadata
tags:
  - instruct
  - pytorch
  - finance
  - stock market
  - candlesticks
  - FinGPT
  - option trading
  - future stock prediction
  - trends prediction
  - Enterprise LLM
  - Enterprise
  - Enterprise ready
  - Banks
  - Wealth Management
model-index:
  - name: Palmyra-Fin-70B-32k
    results: []
license: other
license_name: writer-open-model-license
license_link: https://writer.com/legal/open-model-license/
extra_gated_prompt: >-
  By clicking "Agree", you agree to the [License
  Agreement](https://writer.com/legal/open-model-license/) and acknowledge
  Writer's [Privacy Policy](https://writer.com/legal/acceptable-use/).
extra_gated_fields:
  Name: text
  Email: text
  Organization or Affiliation: text
  Receive email updates and promotions on Writer products, services, and research?:
    type: select
    options:
      - 'Yes'
      - 'No'
  I acknowledge that this model is for non-commercial use only unless I acquire a separate license from Writer: checkbox
language:
  - en
widget:
  - example_title: Palmyra-Fin-70B-32k
    messages:
      - role: system
        content: >-
          You are an expert language model specialized in the financial services
          domain. Your responses should be detailed, accurate, and tailored to
          the needs of financial professionals. Consider ethical implications,
          long-term impacts, and current global financial trends in your advice.
      - role: user
        content: >-
          As the CFO of a technology company, we are considering issuing new
          equity to fund our expansion into international markets.  Could you
          provide a brief analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of
          issuing new equity, especially in the context of maintaining our
          current share price and investor relations?
    output:
      text: >-
        As the CFO of a technology company, considering issuing new equity to
        fund expansion into international markets is a strategic decision that
        requires a thorough analysis of its advantages and disadvantages. 
        Issuing new equity can be an effective way to raise capital, but its
        crucial to weigh the benefits against the potential dilution of existing
        shareholders ownership and its impact on your share price. Heres a
        balanced view of the key advantages and disadvantages to help you make
        an  informed decision:\n\nAdvantages:\n\n1. **Capital Raising**: Issuing
        new equity is an effective way to raise capital for expansion into
        international markets.  This capital can be used to establish a presence
        in new markets, hire local teams, and develop marketing campaigns
        tailored to those regions.\n\n2. **Diversified Shareholder Base**: 
        Issuing new equity can attract new investors, potentially including
        international investors. This can help broaden your shareholder base,
        which may improve liquidity and provide greater market stability.\n\n3.
        **Enhanced Credibility**: Issuing new equity can be perceived by the
        market as a vote of confidence in  your company's growth prospects,
        enhancing your credibility with existing and potential investors.\n\n4.
        **Strategic Partnerships**:  Issuing new equity can facilitate strategic
        partnerships or collaborations. For example, issuing shares to a
        strategic partner in a new market can help you establish a local
        presence and gain access to their customer base.\n\n5. **Employee
        Incentives**:  Issuing new equity can be used to incentivize employees,
        especially when vesting is tied to specific performance metrics or
        time-based vesting schedules. This can help attract and retain top
        talent.\n\nDisadvantages:\n\n1. **Dilution of Ownership**:  Issuing new
        equity dilutes the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. This
        dilution can cause a decrease in the share price of your company's
        stock.\n\n2. **Dilution of Earnings**: Issuing new equity dilutes
        earnings per share, which could cause a decrease in your  company's
        share price.\n\n3. **Increased Shareholder Scrutiny**: Issuing new
        equity may attract new shareholders who will demand greater transparency
        and scrutiny of your operations. This could increase legal and financial
        reporting expenses, make some activities more time-consuming, and may
        also place undue strain on your personnel.\n\n4.  **Issuance Costs and
        Expenses**: Issuing new equity involves significant legal, accounting,
        and other expenses. These costs could include, among other things,
        registration fees, filing fees, printing fees, and the compensation of
        any underwriters. The total amount of these costs may be
        substantial.\n\n5. **Market Volatility**: Issuing new equity can cause
        market volatility in the price of  your company's stock. The sale of
        these shares, or the perception that sales could occur, could cause the
        price of your company's stock to fall. This could also make it more
        difficult for you to sell equity or debt securities in the future at a
        time or price that you deem reasonable or appropriate.\n\n6.
        **Perception of Weakness**:  The sale of additional equity securities
        may lead to a perception by the market that your company's management
        believes its existing capital resources will be insufficient for its
        operations. This perception could cause your company's stock price to
        decline.\n\n7. **Restrictions on Dividends**: If you are incorporated in
        a state  that limits your ability to pay dividends on your common stock
        while you have preferred stock outstanding, then the rights of the
        holders of your common stock may be subject to limitations on the
        declaration of dividends.\n\n8. **Anti-Takeover Effects**: Issuing new
        equity may have anti-takeover effects. For example,  if your company has
        a staggered board of directors, shares underlying new equity could be
        issued by your board of directors in one or more rights plans or similar
        plans. The rights will entitle all shareholders of record on a certain
        date to purchase shares of preferred stock upon the occurrence of
        certain events, such as a person acquiring a certain percentage of your
        companys outstanding voting stock.  The rights will expire prior to the
        commencement of any business combination with a person who beneficially
        owns 20% or more of your companys outstanding voting stock. The rights
        may have the effect of entrenching your companys management team and may
        deprive you of the opportunity to sell your company to potential
        acquirers at a premium over prevailing prices. This potential inability
        to obtain a control  premium could reduce the price of your company's
        stock.\n\n9. **Impact on Employee Stock Options**: Issuing new equity
        may cause your companys employee stock options to become less valuable.
        This could adversely affect your companys ability to attract and retain
        employees.\n\n10. **Alternative Financing Options**: Depending on your
        companys stage of development and market conditions, it may be possible
        to obtain needed  capital through alternative financing sources, such as
        a second public offering, a private placement of securities, or loans
        from banks or related or unrelated parties. These financing sources may
        have terms favorable to your company compared to those obtained through
        an issuance of new equity.\n\nIn the context of maintaining your current
        share price and investor relations, it's essential to consider the
        following:\n\n1. **Communicate Effectively**:  It is crucial to
        communicate the reasons behind issuing new equity clearly and
        transparently to your existing shareholders. This can help manage
        expectations and reduce potential negative perceptions.\n\n2. **Share
        Price Impact**: Analyze the potential dilution of earnings per share and
        the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. Consider the impact
        of issuing new equity on your  companys share price in the short and
        long term.\n\n3. **Investor Relations**: Engage with your existing
        shareholders to understand their concerns and address them proactively.
        This can help maintain a positive relationship with your investor
        base.\n\n4. **Equity Incentive Plans**: Ensure that your equity
        incentive plans are aligned with your  companys long-term goals and that
        vesting schedules are structured to incentivize employees
        appropriately.\n\n5. **Alternative Financing Options**: Carefully
        evaluate alternative financing options and consider the potential impact
        of each on your share price and investor relations.\n\nIn conclusion,
        issuing new equity to fund expansion into international markets can be a
        viable option, but it is essential to carefully weigh the advantages and
        disadvantages and consider alternative financing options.  Effective
        communication with your existing shareholders is critical to managing
        expectations and maintaining a positive relationship with your investor
        base.
base_model:
  - Writer/palmyra-4-oasis

Palmyra-Fin, a powerful LLM designed for Finance

Model Description

  • Developed by: Writer
  • Language(s) (NLP): English
  • Context window: 32,768 tokens
  • Parameters: 70 billion
  • Finetuned from model: Palmyra-X-003
  • License: Writer open model license

Model Details

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K is a model built by Writer specifically to meet the needs of the financial industry. It is a leading LLM on financial benchmarks, outperforming other large language models in various financial tasks and evaluations.

Resources and Technical Documentation:

Specialized for Financial Applications

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K is meticulously designed to meet the unique linguistic and knowledge demands of the finance and economics sectors. It has been fine-tuned on an extensive collection of high-quality financial data, ensuring it can comprehend and generate text with precise domain-specific accuracy and fluency.

Our system integrates a specialized internal finance dataset and a well-crafted fine-tuning recipe, making it highly adept at handling the specific needs of this field. Key components of our training pipeline include:

  • Specialized Dataset: Utilizing a proprietary internal finance dataset to enhance the model's performance.
  • Fine-tuning approach: Custom financial instruction dataset (Writer in-house build)

Intended Use

Intended Use Cases

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K is intended for use in English for financial analysis, market trend prediction, risk assessment, financial report generation, and automated financial advice. It excels at answering questions from long financial documents, making it ideal for in-depth financial research and analysis.

Out-of-scope

Use in any manner that violates applicable laws or regulations (including trade compliance laws). Use in any other way that is prohibited by Writer's Acceptable Use Policy and the Writer open model license. Use in languages other than English.

Note: Users should be aware that while the model is highly capable, it should not be used as the sole basis for making significant financial decisions.

Use with transformers

import torch
from transformers import AutoTokenizer, AutoModelForCausalLM

model_id = "Writer/Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K"

tokenizer = AutoTokenizer.from_pretrained(model_id)

model = AutoModelForCausalLM.from_pretrained(
    model_id,
    torch_dtype=torch.float16,
    device_map="auto",
    attn_implementation="flash_attention_2",
)

messages = [
    {
        "role": "system",
        "content": "You are a highly knowledgeable and experienced expert in the financial sector, possessing extensive knowledge and practical expertise in financial analysis, markets, investments, and economic principles.",
    },
    {
        "role": "user",
        "content": "Can you explain how central banks printing more money (quantitative easing) affects the stock market and how investors might react to it?",
    },
]

input_ids = tokenizer.apply_chat_template(
    messages, tokenize=True, add_generation_prompt=True, return_tensors="pt"
)

gen_conf = {
    "max_new_tokens": 1024,
    "eos_token_id": tokenizer.eos_token_id,
    "temperature": 0.0,
    "top_p": 0.9,
}

with torch.inference_mode():
    output_id = model.generate(input_ids, **gen_conf)

output_text = tokenizer.decode(output_id[0][input_ids.shape[1] :])

print(output_text)

Evaluation Results

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K outperforms other models on internal finance evaluations, achieving state-of-the-art results across various financial datasets. Its strong performance in tasks like financial document analysis, market trend prediction, and risk assessment underscores its effective grasp of financial knowledge.

Key Performance Metrics:

  • 100% accuracy on needle-in-haystack tasks
  • Superior performance on internal finance evaluations compared to other models

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K achieves 100% accuracy on needle-in-haystack tasks across its entire 32,768 token context window, demonstrating exceptional capability in precise information extraction from extensive financial documents.

palmyra-fin-70b-32k-nih

CFA Level III Test

The new Palmyra-Fin-70B model passed the CFA Level III test with a 73%. It's the first model to pass this exam, often called "the world's hardest exam." The average passing score is 60%, and less than half of all test takers pass. This is a big improvement from other models like GPT-4, which scored 33% on the exam.

Long-Fin-Eval Performance:

To further assess the model's capabilities, we developed and conducted an evaluation using long-fin-eval, an internally created benchmark designed to simulate real-world financial use cases. This evaluation consists of samples containing long documents paired with high-quality question-answer sets. The model's task is to generate responses based on the provided document and question, with the output evaluated by GPT-4 Turbo.

The long-fin-eval methodology assesses both the model's information retrieval capabilities and its ability to engage in extended dialogue on complex financial topics. This approach provides insight into the model's capacity to process and synthesize information from lengthy financial documents while maintaining coherent and contextually appropriate conversational output.

In this evaluation, Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K showed superior performance compared to both open-source and proprietary benchmark models. These results indicate the model's effectiveness in addressing real-world financial applications that require both comprehensive understanding of extensive documents and the ability to articulate nuanced insights.

model name long-fin-eval
Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K 9.04
Claude 3.5 Sonnet 9.02
Qwen-2 70B instruct 8.9
gpt-4o 8.72
palmyra-fin-56b 8.23
mixtral-8x7b 7.57

palmyra-fin-70b-32k-performance

Financial Use Cases

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K excels in analyzing and summarizing complex financial reports, market data, and economic indicators, extracting key information to generate concise, structured summaries. It helps enhance financial decision-making by performing advanced entity recognition, identifying key financial concepts such as market trends, economic indicators, and financial instruments from unstructured text.

By leveraging its deep understanding of financial terminology, the model enhances information retrieval, data analysis, and knowledge discovery from financial reports, research articles, and other economic sources. These capabilities support applications like investment analysis, risk management, and financial research.

Bias, Risks, and Limitations

Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K, despite leveraging high-quality data, may contain inaccuracies, biases, or misalignments and has not been rigorously evaluated in real-world financial settings.

It is advised not to use the model for direct financial decision-making or professional financial advice without human oversight. Instead, its use should be confined to research and analysis by qualified individuals who understand its limitations. Palmyra-Fin-70B-32K should not replace professional financial judgment, and adapting it for critical financial use would require extensive additional work, including thorough testing, regulatory compliance, bias mitigation, and human oversight. Always consult a qualified financial professional for personal financial needs.

Citation and Related Information

To cite this model:

@misc{Palmyra-Fin-70B-32k,
  author = {Writer Engineering team},
  title = {{Palmyra-Fin-70B-32k: a powerful LLM designed for Finance}},
  howpublished = {\url{https://dev.writer.com}},
  year = 2024,
  month = July 
}

Contact [email protected]